Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5?
99%chance, according to the market
Backed by $36K traded in the last 24 hours — this is a price people are staking money on, not a forecast.
How the price has moved
We started recording this market's daily price today — the history will build from here.
How this resolves
The rules below decide who gets paid. Read them before the price — most surprises are definitional, not predictive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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Open in TelegramPrice as of 2026-08-04 16:55 UTC · Source: Polymarket